Match Prediction Round 2: Collingwood v Adelaide


Both teams got their 2015 AFL season off to winning starts last weekend. The Adelaide Crows were simply brilliant and destroyed the North Melbourne Kangaroos by 77 points. Their new Captain, Taylor Walker, booted 6 goals and could have easily had 10 on the day.

Collingwood started as under-dogs last Round against the Brisbane Lions but ran out winners by 12 points after leading by 53 points during the 3RD quarter.

Collingwood would be a little concerned that the Lions were able to kick the last 7 goals of that match to nearly steal a victory.

Steele Sidebottom broke his thumb and will be missing for the Pies this weekend which is a big blow to their mid-field. He is ranked 14th in the AFL players list.

What The Bookies Think

The bookies have opened the markets and installed Adelaide as the $1.50 favorite with Collingwood paying $2.60
The line is currently sitting at -12.5 points Adelaide and +12.5 points Collingwood.
Adelaide to lead at the end of all four quarters $2.85
Collingwood to lead at the end of all four quarters $5.00
The total match line is currently sitting at 182.5 points.

What We Think

Adelaide has won the last 2 matches between these two sides and Collingwood the previous 3. Last season Adelaide won in Round 18 by 16 points with Patrick Dangerfield collecting 3 Brownlow Medal votes. He actually picked up 3 votes both times they met last season and was just superb against the Kangaroos last weekend.

Adelaide is strong in all areas and Walker looks in top nick. They had 9 different goal scorers last weekend with Betts and Walker running riot, booting 10 between them. They have 5 players in the AFLs Top 50 ranking list and that is without big Tex.
Adelaide kicked the ball 241 times last weekend at 75 percent accuracy which was the best in AFL Round 1.

Collingwood played better than most punters expected last weekend but their opposition was poor at best for the first three quarters. They looked tired in the last quarter and conceding 7 in a row is a worry.

Collingwood are never easy to beat in Victoria but we believe that Adelaide will win this match. We just cannot go past them after they humiliated the Kangaroos by 77 points.

The Adelaide Crows by 26 points for us!

Prediction

Adelaide Crows to win: $1.50
Adelaide Crows at the line: -12.5 points at $1.91
Collingwood v Adelaide match total: over 182.5 points at $1.91

Happy Betting!
– Marc

PS. Want to know exactly what I am betting on? You can get my tips and inside info – including the exact bets I am placing personally, with my own money – by subscribing here.